Week 17 Player Props: Passing Yards for Joe Flacco from EV Insight

Joe FlaccoPassing Yards

Right now, Joe Flacco’s passing yards prop is set at 227.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 227.5 (-110) after it opened @ 226.5 (-110).

Pros

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the league (64.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Browns.
The model projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.1 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Browns have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 65.9 plays per game.
In this contest, Joe Flacco is forecasted by the predictive model to average the 4th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 38.1.
With an exceptional rate of 302.0 adjusted passing yards per game (100th percentile), Joe Flacco stands as one of the leading QBs in football this year.

Cons

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Browns being a massive 7-point favorite in this game.
Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Jets, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (just 32.7 per game) this year.
Joe Flacco rates as one of the least on-target QBs in football this year with a 60.3% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 22nd percentile.
Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the fewest yards in the league (just 179.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Jets defense this year.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New York’s unit has been excellent this year, projecting as the best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
192
Passing Yards