NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Jared GoffPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Cowboys vs. Lions
Right now, Jared Goff’s passing yards prop is set at 262.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 262.5 (-110) after it opened @ 247.5 (-110).
Pros
- A throwing game script is implied by the Lions being a -4.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
- Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 61.6% of their plays: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
- Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by the projection model to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
- The Lions have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 61.0 plays per game.
- With an excellent tally of 267.0 adjusted passing yards per game (89th percentile), Jared Goff ranks among the top QBs in football this year.
Cons
- Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
- This year, the strong Cowboys defense has given up a feeble 199.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-fewest in the league.
- This year, the strong Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded a feeble 63.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best rate in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
261
Passing Yards
261
Passing Yards
