Week 17 Player Props: Passing Yards for Dak Prescott from EV Insight

Dak PrescottPassing Yards

Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 274.5 yards (-148/+112).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 274.5 (+112) after it opened @ 281.5 (-114).

Pros

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 60.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 130.7 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
The Cowboys have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dak Prescott has thrown for many more adjusted yards per game (268.0) this season than he did last season (241.0).

Cons

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
This year, the fierce Detroit Lions defense has allowed a measly 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-smallest rate in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
319
Passing Yards