Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Aidan O’ConnellPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Colts vs. Raiders
Right now, Aidan O’Connell’s passing yards prop is set at 209.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach.
- The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
- The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.
- The Colts linebackers profile as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.
Cons
- Right now, the 7th-least pass-heavy team in football (57.3% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Las Vegas Raiders.
- With regard to a defense’s influence on pace, at 28.57 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders as the 4th-slowest in the league (context-neutralized) right now.
- Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 32.7 per game) this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
244
Passing Yards
244
Passing Yards
