Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Zamir WhiteRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Chiefs vs. Raiders
Right now, Zamir White’s rushing yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (+102/-139).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (-139) after it opened @ 50.5 (-121).
Pros
- The model projects the Raiders to be the 5th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 42.8% run rate.
- In this week’s game, Zamir White is forecasted by our trusted projection set to place in the 79th percentile among RBs with 14.1 rush attempts.
- The leading projections forecast Zamir White to be a much bigger part of his offense’s rushing attack this week (52.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (8.5% in games he has played).
- When it comes to blocking for ball-carriers (and the impact it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 3rd-best in the league last year.
- This year, the daunting Kansas City Chiefs run defense has given up a paltry 4.55 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s rushing attack: the 23rd-best rate in football.
Cons
- This game’s spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Raiders, who are big -10.5-point underdogs.
- As far as a defense’s influence on pace, at 28.57 seconds per play, the model projects the Raiders as the most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.
Projection
THE BLITZ
57
Rushing Yards
57
Rushing Yards
