Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Week 16 brings us fantastic matchup between San Francisco and Baltimore. Both teams currently hold the No. 1 spot in their respective conferences, setting up a Super Bowl preview tonight in San Francisco.
Here is my favorite prop bet for tonight’s Monday Night matchup!
Justice Hill Over 28.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards
(-115, Bet365)
Last week’s season-ending injury to breakout running back star Keaton Mitchell has put all the attention on veteran running back Gus Edwards. However, it’s 26-year-old Justice Hill that is the forgotten man in this Baltimore backfield.
Since entering the league in 2018, Hill has flashed explosiveness when given the opportunity, Our FTN Fantasy Splits Tool shows that game where Hill saw at least 15 snaps, he has easily blasted this prop.
Hill has actually posted an average of 32.1 yards per game on the ground alone in those matchups, and projects as the receiving yardage back tonight against the 49ers.
Our FTN Betting Model projects Hill for 42.4 total yards, equating to a 8.9% edge. Most will gravitate toward Edwards for solid running back production, but overlooking Hill is a mistake, especially with his unrealized volume given Mitchell’s injury.
Pick: Justice Hill Over 28.5 Rushing/Receiving Yards
