Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Travis Etienne from EV Insight

Travis EtienneRushing Yards

Right now, Travis Etienne’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (+105/-140).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 55.5 (-140) after it opened @ 55.5 (-110).

Pros

The projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.63 seconds per play.
This week, Travis Etienne is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.5 rush attempts.
Travis Etienne has been a more integral piece of his offense’s rushing attack this year (64.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (51.6%).
Travis Etienne has grinded out 59.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among running backs (84th percentile).
The Tampa Bay defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

Cons

Right now, the 6th-least run-oriented offense in the league (35.7% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Jaguars.
When it comes to run-blocking (and the importance it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the Jacksonville Jaguars grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year.
Travis Etienne’s 3.6 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies a substantial regression in his running proficiency over last year’s 5.1 mark.

Projection

THE BLITZ
74
Rushing Yards