Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Travis EtienneRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Buccaneers vs. Jaguars
Right now, Travis Etienne’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (+105/-140).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 55.5 (-140) after it opened @ 55.5 (-110).
Pros
- The projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.63 seconds per play.
- This week, Travis Etienne is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.5 rush attempts.
- Travis Etienne has been a more integral piece of his offense’s rushing attack this year (64.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (51.6%).
- Travis Etienne has grinded out 59.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among running backs (84th percentile).
- The Tampa Bay defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
Cons
- Right now, the 6th-least run-oriented offense in the league (35.7% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Jaguars.
- When it comes to run-blocking (and the importance it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the Jacksonville Jaguars grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year.
- Travis Etienne’s 3.6 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies a substantial regression in his running proficiency over last year’s 5.1 mark.
Projection
THE BLITZ
74
Rushing Yards
74
Rushing Yards
