Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Cook

James CookRushing Yards

Right now, James Cook’s rushing yards prop is set at 70.5 yards (-125/-109).

The public has bet the OVER up to 70.5 (-125) after it opened @ 69.5 (-115).

Pros

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being an enormous 12.5-point favorite in this game.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bills to run on 44.8% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Bills to call the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
In this week’s game, James Cook is projected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 79th percentile among running backs with 15.0 carries.
James Cook has been a much bigger part of his offense’s ground game this season (49.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (19.1%).

Cons

As it relates to blocking for ball-carriers (and the significance it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 10th-worst in football last year.
James Cook’s 5.0 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies a meaningful drop-off in his rushing prowess over last year’s 5.8 mark.

Projection

THE BLITZ
72
Rushing Yards