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Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Cook from EV Insight

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James Cook

James CookRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 16

Chargers vs. Bills

Right now, James Cook’s rushing yards prop is set at 70.5 yards (-125/-109).
The public has bet the OVER up to 70.5 (-125) after it opened @ 69.5 (-115).

Pros

  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being an enormous 12.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bills to run on 44.8% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Bills to call the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • In this week’s game, James Cook is projected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 79th percentile among running backs with 15.0 carries.
  • James Cook has been a much bigger part of his offense’s ground game this season (49.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (19.1%).
Cons

  • As it relates to blocking for ball-carriers (and the significance it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 10th-worst in football last year.
  • James Cook’s 5.0 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies a meaningful drop-off in his rushing prowess over last year’s 5.8 mark.

Projection
THE BLITZ
72
Rushing Yards

Previous Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kyren Williams from EV Insight Next NHL Prop Bets with Chris Meaney (12/19)