Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Devin Singletary from EV Insight

Devin SingletaryRushing Yards

Right now, Devin Singletary’s rushing yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 60.5 (-115) after it opened @ 65.5 (-115).

Pros

The projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 10th-most run-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.0% run rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to see 136.0 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect Devin Singletary to notch 17.8 carries in this week’s contest, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.
The projections expect Devin Singletary to be a more important option in his offense’s ground game in this week’s contest (64.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (45.4% in games he has played).
With a terrific tally of 51.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (80th percentile), Devin Singletary has been among the leading pure rushers in the league this year.

Cons

This game’s line implies a passing game script for the Texans, who are -3-point underdogs.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
As it relates to run-blocking (and the importance it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the Houston Texans profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL last year.
The Browns defense owns the 9th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up just 4.08 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in stopping the run, Cleveland’s DT corps has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 8th-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
79
Rushing Yards