MLB Best Bets – Free (Wednesday 5/8)
Josh Gross
Sam LaPortaReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Vikings vs. Lions
Right now, Sam LaPorta’s receiving yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- The Detroit Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
- With an outstanding 51.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (94th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta rates as one of the leading TEs in the pass game in football.
Cons
- The model projects the Detroit Lions to be the 10th-least pass-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 59.0% pass rate.
- The Vikings pass defense has displayed strong efficiency versus TEs this year, yielding 6.76 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.
- The Vikings safeties project as the 3rd-best safety corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
56
Receiving Yards
56
Receiving Yards
