NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Logan ThomasReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Jets vs. Commanders
Right now, Logan Thomas’s receiving yards prop is set at 25.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- A passing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a -3-point underdog this week.
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Commanders to pass on 62.8% of their downs: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.
- With respect to a defense’s impact on tempo, at 27.41 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.
- Logan Thomas has run a route on 75.6% of his offense’s dropbacks this year, placing him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.
- Logan Thomas has accumulated a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (33.0) this season than he did last season (25.0).
Cons
- Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Jets, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 32.3 per game) this year.
- The Jets pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.6%) to TEs this year (68.6%).
- The New York Jets linebackers grade out as the best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
26
Receiving Yards
26
Receiving Yards
