Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Evan EngramReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Buccaneers vs. Jaguars
Right now, Evan Engram’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-143/+110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (+110) after it opened @ 50.5 (-114).
Pros
- At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in football (64.3% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Jaguars.
- The projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.63 seconds per play.
- Opposing teams have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
- In this week’s game, Evan Engram is projected by the projections to rank in the 99th percentile among tight ends with 8.6 targets.
- Evan Engram’s 52.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year indicates a remarkable improvement in his receiving skills over last year’s 43.0 figure.
Cons
- This year, the fierce Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded a feeble 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. tight ends this year, surrendering 6.82 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in football.
- As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Tampa Bay’s group of safeties has been very good this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
56
Receiving Yards
56
Receiving Yards
