Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Evan Engram from EV Insight

Evan EngramReceiving Yards

Right now, Evan Engram’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-143/+110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (+110) after it opened @ 50.5 (-114).

Pros

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in football (64.3% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Jaguars.
The projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.63 seconds per play.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
In this week’s game, Evan Engram is projected by the projections to rank in the 99th percentile among tight ends with 8.6 targets.
Evan Engram’s 52.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year indicates a remarkable improvement in his receiving skills over last year’s 43.0 figure.

Cons

This year, the fierce Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded a feeble 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. tight ends this year, surrendering 6.82 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in football.
As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Tampa Bay’s group of safeties has been very good this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
56
Receiving Yards