Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Drake London from EV Insight

Drake LondonReceiving Yards

Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (-105/-120).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 41.5 (-120) after it opened @ 45.5 (-115).

Pros

The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to accumulate 7.0 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
Drake London has been a key part of his team’s offense, earning a Target Share of 29.1% this year, which puts him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
Drake London has notched a colossal 69.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among wideouts.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has given up the 4th-most receiving yards per game in the league (175.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Drake London has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, hauling in a mere 58.4% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 9th percentile among wide receivers

Projection

THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards