Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DK Metcalf from EV Insight

DK MetcalfReceiving Yards

Right now, DK Metcalf’s receiving yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (-135/+105).

The public has bet the OVER up to 61.5 (-135) after it opened @ 60.5 (-115).

Pros

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.9% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
This week, D.K. Metcalf is expected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 85th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.7 targets.
D.K. Metcalf has put up many more air yards this season (108.0 per game) than he did last season (103.0 per game).
With an excellent 71.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (91st percentile) this year, D.K. Metcalf stands among the top WRs in the game in the NFL.
This year, the deficient Titans pass defense has surrendered a staggering 71.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the highest rate in the NFL.

Cons

The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (a measly 55.5 per game on average).
The Titans pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.42 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards