Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
DK MetcalfReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Titans vs. Seahawks
Right now, DK Metcalf’s receiving yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (-135/+105).
The public has bet the OVER up to 61.5 (-135) after it opened @ 60.5 (-115).
Pros
- At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.9% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
- This week, D.K. Metcalf is expected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 85th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.7 targets.
- D.K. Metcalf has put up many more air yards this season (108.0 per game) than he did last season (103.0 per game).
- With an excellent 71.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (91st percentile) this year, D.K. Metcalf stands among the top WRs in the game in the NFL.
- This year, the deficient Titans pass defense has surrendered a staggering 71.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the highest rate in the NFL.
Cons
- The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
- The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (a measly 55.5 per game on average).
- The Titans pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.42 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards
64
Receiving Yards
