Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Calvin Ridley from EV Insight

Calvin RidleyReceiving Yards

Right now, Calvin Ridley’s receiving yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-120) after it opened @ 55.5 (-115).

Pros

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in football (64.3% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Jaguars.
The projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.63 seconds per play.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
With an extraordinary 92.7% Route% (91st percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley ranks as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.
In this game, Calvin Ridley is anticipated by the projection model to position himself in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.9 targets.

Cons

Calvin Ridley ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league, catching just 58.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 18th percentile among wide receivers
With a weak 2.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (20th percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley rates among the leading pass-catching WRs in the NFL in space.

Projection

THE BLITZ
68
Receiving Yards