Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Calvin RidleyReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Buccaneers vs. Jaguars
Right now, Calvin Ridley’s receiving yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-120) after it opened @ 55.5 (-115).
Pros
- At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in football (64.3% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Jaguars.
- The projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.63 seconds per play.
- Opposing teams have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
- With an extraordinary 92.7% Route% (91st percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley ranks as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.
- In this game, Calvin Ridley is anticipated by the projection model to position himself in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.9 targets.
Cons
- Calvin Ridley ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league, catching just 58.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 18th percentile among wide receivers
- With a weak 2.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (20th percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley rates among the leading pass-catching WRs in the NFL in space.
Projection
THE BLITZ
68
Receiving Yards
68
Receiving Yards
