Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Austin Hooper from EV Insight

Austin HooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Austin Hooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 20.5 (-115) after it opened @ 15.5 (-115).

Pros

This game’s spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Raiders, who are big -10.5-point underdogs.
While Austin Hooper has received 4.7% of his offense’s targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Las Vegas’s pass game in this game at 10.5%.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.
Austin Hooper’s ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 75.6% to 79.0%.
Austin Hooper’s 6.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a substantial growth in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year’s 3.5% figure.

Cons

The projections expect the Raiders to be the least pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.2% pass rate.
As far as a defense’s influence on pace, at 28.57 seconds per play, the model projects the Raiders as the most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Chiefs defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
After accumulating 28.0 air yards per game last year, Austin Hooper has seen a big downtick this year, currently sitting at 7.0 per game.
Austin Hooper’s 12.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year reflects a meaningful decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 26.0 figure.

Projection

THE BLITZ
20
Receiving Yards