Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Roschon JohnsonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Bears vs. Cardinals
Right now, Roschon Johnson’s rushing yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (-139/+102).
The public has bet the OVER up to 37.5 (-139) after it opened @ 35.5 (-117).
Pros
- The Bears are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- The projections expect the Bears as the most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 51.8% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- While Roschon Johnson has garnered 17.6% of his offense’s rush attempts in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Chicago’s ground game this week at 28.7%.
- The Chicago offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
- This year, the porous Cardinals run defense has allowed a massive 146.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 2nd-most in the league.
Cons
- Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see only 126.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest out of all the games this week.
Projection
THE BLITZ
39
Rushing Yards
39
Rushing Yards
