Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amari Cooper from EV Insight

Amari CooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 61.5 (-110) after it opened @ 60.5 (-114).

Pros

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to pass on 60.5% of their opportunities: the 9th-highest clip on the slate this week.
The model projects the Browns to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a monstrous 65.8 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Houston Texans defense has conceded the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (167.0) versus WRs this year.

Cons

With a 3-point advantage, the Browns are favored this week, implying more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.
Amari Cooper’s 57.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving skills over last year’s 64.9% figure.
Amari Cooper’s 8.4 adjusted yards per target this season conveys an impressive decline in his receiving ability over last season’s 9.6 figure.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Houston’s CB corps has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
69
Receiving Yards