Week 16 Player Props: Passing Yards for Sam Howell from EV Insight

Sam HowellPassing Yards

Right now, Sam Howell’s passing yards prop is set at 210.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 210.5 (-110) after it opened @ 213.5 (-110).

Pros

A passing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a -3-point underdog this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Commanders to pass on 62.8% of their downs: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.
With respect to a defense’s impact on tempo, at 27.41 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.
Sam Howell has attempted 40.4 throws per game this year, grading out in the 100th percentile among quarterbacks.
With a remarkable tally of 257.0 adjusted passing yards per game (77th percentile), Sam Howell stands among the leading quarterbacks in football this year.

Cons

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Jets, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 32.3 per game) this year.
The New York Jets pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, yielding 6.56 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
The New York cornerbacks profile as the best group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
202
Passing Yards