Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Sam HowellPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Jets vs. Commanders
Right now, Sam Howell’s passing yards prop is set at 210.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 210.5 (-110) after it opened @ 213.5 (-110).
Pros
- A passing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a -3-point underdog this week.
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Commanders to pass on 62.8% of their downs: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.
- With respect to a defense’s impact on tempo, at 27.41 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.
- Sam Howell has attempted 40.4 throws per game this year, grading out in the 100th percentile among quarterbacks.
- With a remarkable tally of 257.0 adjusted passing yards per game (77th percentile), Sam Howell stands among the leading quarterbacks in football this year.
Cons
- Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Jets, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 32.3 per game) this year.
- The New York Jets pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, yielding 6.56 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
- The New York cornerbacks profile as the best group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
202
Passing Yards
202
Passing Yards
