Week 16 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kyler Murray from EV Insight

Kyler MurrayPassing Yards

Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 215.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
In registering a monstrous 34.4 pass attempts per game this year, Kyler Murray stands among the top QBs in the league (75th percentile) by this measure.
The Bears defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, tempting opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (39.9 per game) this year.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the league (266.0 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in football versus the Bears defense this year (73.3% Adjusted Completion%).

Cons

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cardinals to pass on 55.8% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by the projections to run only 63.3 total plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Arizona offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
207
Passing Yards