Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
CeeDee LambReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Dolphins vs. Cowboys
Right now, CeeDee Lamb’s receiving yards prop is set at 89.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 89.5 (-110) after it opened @ 90.5 (-114).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys as the 4th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cowboys are projected by the projection model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
- The Dallas Cowboys have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.8 plays per game.
- CeeDee Lamb’s 98.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year conveys a noteworthy progression in his receiving prowess over last year’s 82.0 figure.
- The Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.5%) vs. wideouts this year (69.5%).
Cons
- The Miami Dolphins pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.18 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
- The Miami Dolphins safeties profile as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
96
Receiving Yards
96
Receiving Yards
