Week 16 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jared Goff from EV Insight

Jared GoffPassing Yards

Right now, Jared Goff’s passing yards prop is set at 251.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 251.5 (-110) after it opened @ 247.5 (-114).

Pros

The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Detroit Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
With a terrific rate of 265.0 adjusted passing yards per game (83rd percentile), Jared Goff stands among the top QBs in the NFL this year.

Cons

The model projects the Detroit Lions to be the 10th-least pass-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 59.0% pass rate.
The Vikings safeties project as the 3rd-best safety corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
276
Passing Yards