Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Jared GoffPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Vikings vs. Lions
Right now, Jared Goff’s passing yards prop is set at 251.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 251.5 (-110) after it opened @ 247.5 (-114).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- The Detroit Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
- With a terrific rate of 265.0 adjusted passing yards per game (83rd percentile), Jared Goff stands among the top QBs in the NFL this year.
Cons
- The model projects the Detroit Lions to be the 10th-least pass-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 59.0% pass rate.
- The Vikings safeties project as the 3rd-best safety corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
276
Passing Yards
276
Passing Yards
