Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Geno SmithPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Titans vs. Seahawks
Right now, Geno Smith’s passing yards prop is set at 238.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 238.5 (-110) after it opened @ 229.5 (-110).
Pros
- At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.9% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
- This year, the porous Titans defense has surrendered a whopping 73.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-worst rate in football.
- The Tennessee Titans pass defense has displayed bad efficiency this year, yielding 8.24 adjusted yards-per-target: the 4th-most in the league.
- When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Tennessee’s collection of CBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league.
Cons
- The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
- The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (a measly 55.5 per game on average).
- Geno Smith’s 65.4% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a noteable decrease in his passing precision over last year’s 69.4% figure.
Projection
THE BLITZ
244
Passing Yards
244
Passing Yards
