Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Zamir WhiteRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Raiders vs. Chargers
Right now, Zamir White’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Raiders are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a running game script.
- The predictive model expects the Raiders as the 9th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 44.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- In this contest, Zamir White is expected by the model to finish in the 96th percentile among running backs with 18.8 carries.
- Our trusted projections expect Zamir White to be much more involved in his team’s ground game in this week’s contest (66.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (5.6% in games he has played).
- The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league last year in run-blocking.
Cons
- Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 64.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
- The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (a measly 53.5 per game on average).
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Zamir White has grinded out a mere 6.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest marks in the league among running backs (22nd percentile).
Projection
THE BLITZ
76
Rushing Yards
76
Rushing Yards
