Week 15 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Zack Moss from EV Insight

Zack MossRushing Yards

Right now, Zack Moss’s rushing yards prop is set at 71.5 yards (-103/-133).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 71.5 (-133) after it opened @ 73.5 (-113).

Pros

The leading projections forecast the Colts offense to be the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.16 seconds per play.
In this week’s game, Zack Moss is anticipated by the projections to place in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs with 20.6 carries.
While Zack Moss has been responsible for 55.4% of his offense’s rush attempts in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Indianapolis’s ground game in this contest at 77.5%.
Zack Moss’s 63.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents a noteworthy gain in his rushing skills over last season’s 34.0 mark.
With an exceptional tally of 4.39 adjusted yards per carry (75th percentile), Zack Moss ranks among the top running backs in the league this year.

Cons

The projections expect the Colts as the 10th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 40.4% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Projection

THE BLITZ
87
Rushing Yards