Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
T.J. HockensonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Bengals vs. Vikings
Right now, T.J. Hockenson’s receiving yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 51.5 (-110) after it opened @ 50.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Vikings are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
- The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.89 seconds per play.
- The predictive model expects T.J. Hockenson to garner 8.5 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile among TEs.
- This year, the shaky Bengals defense has allowed a staggering 69.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the worst in the NFL.
Cons
- T.J. Hockenson’s skills in generating extra yardage have tailed off this year, totaling just 3.74 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.18 mark last year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
58
Receiving Yards
58
Receiving Yards
