Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Keenan AllenReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Raiders vs. Chargers
Right now, Keenan Allen’s receiving yards prop is set at 62.5 yards (-115/-113).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 62.5 (-113) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Chargers may pass less in this week’s contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Easton Stick.
- The Chargers are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
- Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chargers to pass on 62.0% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- The Raiders pass defense has conceded the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.7%) versus WRs this year (68.7%).
Cons
- The predictive model expects the Chargers to run the 10th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- Keenan Allen’s ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 76.4% to 73.0%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
87
Receiving Yards
87
Receiving Yards
