Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Ty ChandlerRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Bengals vs. Vikings
Right now, Ty Chandler’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.89 seconds per play.
- The predictive model expects Ty Chandler to accrue 14.5 carries this week, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs.
- The model projects Ty Chandler to be a more important option in his team’s ground game this week (58.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (22.7% in games he has played).
- This year, the fierce Cincinnati Bengals run defense has given up a feeble 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s rushing attack: the 25th-best rate in the NFL.
Cons
- The Vikings are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
- The model projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 6th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in defending against the run, Cincinnati’s DT corps has been very good this year, ranking as the 6th-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
61
Rushing Yards
61
Rushing Yards
