Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Tony PollardRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Bills vs. Cowboys
Right now, Tony Pollard’s rushing yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-112/-117).
The public has bet the OVER up to 53.5 (-112) after it opened @ 52.5 (-114).
Pros
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are predicted by the predictive model to run 66.1 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
- The Cowboys have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
- Our trusted projections expect Tony Pollard to earn 15.8 carries in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
- Tony Pollard has grinded out 65.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the league when it comes to running backs (93rd percentile).
- This year, the fierce Buffalo Bills run defense has given up a meager 4.80 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 28th-best rate in the NFL.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys as the 8th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 39.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Projection
THE BLITZ
70
Rushing Yards
70
Rushing Yards
