Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Justin JeffersonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Bengals vs. Vikings
Right now, Justin Jefferson’s receiving yards prop is set at 79.5 yards (-127/-108).
The public has bet the OVER up to 79.5 (-127) after it opened @ 73.5 (-119).
Pros
- The Vikings are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
- The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.89 seconds per play.
- The leading projections forecast Justin Jefferson to garner 9.5 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
- This year, the anemic Bengals defense has yielded a whopping 173.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 8th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- Justin Jefferson’s 67.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a substantial decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last season’s 72.0% figure.
Projection
THE BLITZ
87
Receiving Yards
87
Receiving Yards
