Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Rachaad WhiteRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Buccaneers vs. Bengals
Right now, Rachaad White’s rushing yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 41.5 (-110) after it opened @ 42.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 134.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 63.9 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Rachaad White to be a more integral piece of his team’s rushing attack this week (55.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (34.0% in games he has played).
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone no-huddle on 12.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have incorporated motion in their offense on 45.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.
Cons
- The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 31.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Cincinnati Bengals defense has had the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, giving up just 4.24 yards-per-carry.
- The Cincinnati Bengals safeties grade out as the 9th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
48
Rushing Yards
48
Rushing Yards
