Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Rachaad WhiteRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Packers vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Rachaad White’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-129/+100).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 69.5 (+100) after it opened @ 76.5 (-113).
Pros
- The projections expect Rachaad White to total 18.5 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
- After comprising 33.7% of his offense’s rushing play calls last year, Rachaad White has been more involved in the run game this year, now sitting at 61.9%.
- Rachaad White has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (58.0) this year than he did last year (30.0).
- This year, the deficient Green Bay Packers run defense has yielded a whopping 144.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-most in the league.
- The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the 29th-worst group of safeties in football this year in regard to defending the run.
Cons
- This week’s line suggests a passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
- Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to run the 6th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.
- With a very bad record of 2.61 yards after contact (18th percentile) this year, Rachaad White stands among the worst running backs in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
80
Rushing Yards
80
Rushing Yards
