Week 15 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Cook from EV Insight

James CookRushing Yards

Right now, James Cook’s rushing yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 51.5 (-115) after it opened @ 51.5 (-110).

Pros

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see 132.3 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
After comprising 19.1% of his team’s run game usage last season, James Cook has played a bigger part in the ground game this season, now taking on 48.4%.
James Cook has run for significantly more adjusted yards per game (59.0) this season than he did last season (32.0).

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Bills to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 33.0% run rate.
As it relates to blocking for ball-carriers (and the significance it has on all ground game statistics), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 10th-worst in the league last year.
James Cook’s rushing efficiency has tailed off this season, averaging a measly 4.70 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.79 figure last season.
The Dallas defensive ends project as the 2nd-best group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
53
Rushing Yards