Week 15 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Conner from EV Insight

James ConnerRushing Yards

Right now, James Conner’s rushing yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-142/+104).

The public has bet the OVER up to 67.5 (-142) after it opened @ 62.5 (-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 63.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects James Conner to garner 21.3 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
James Conner has picked up 59.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in the league among RBs (82nd percentile).
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box versus opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Cons

The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling out backup QB TEXT1 this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.
The Arizona Cardinals have incorporated some form of misdirection on a measly 34.3% of their plays since the start of last season (least in football), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection

THE BLITZ
93
Rushing Yards