Week 15 Player Props: Rushing Yards for D'Onta Foreman from EV Insight

D’Onta ForemanRushing Yards

Right now, D’Onta Foreman’s rushing yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 42.5 (-110) after it opened @ 41.5 (-114).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Bears to be the 2nd-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Among all running backs, D’Onta Foreman ranks in the 75th percentile for carries this year, taking on 39.0% of the workload in his offense’s ground game.
As it relates to executing run-blocking assignments (and the significance it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Bears ranks as the 9th-best in the league last year.
D’Onta Foreman has picked up 53.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest marks in the NFL among RBs (82nd percentile).
As it relates to the linebackers’ role in run defense, Cleveland’s group of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Cons

Right now, the 6th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chicago Bears.
Opposing teams have run for the 10th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 100.0 per game) versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
49
Rushing Yards