NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Amari CooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Browns vs. Bears
Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 53.5 (-120) after it opened @ 52.5 (-115).
Pros
- Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projection model to call 66.2 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
- The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 66.2 plays per game.
- The Chicago Bears defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.
- In this game, Amari Cooper is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.2 targets.
- After accruing 96.0 air yards per game last season, Amari Cooper has produced significantly more this season, currently pacing 105.0 per game.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
- Amari Cooper’s 57.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 64.9% figure.
- Amari Cooper’s 8.3 adjusted yards per target this year shows a noteable diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 9.6 figure.
- This year, the daunting Bears defense has yielded a meager 145.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 10th-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
53
Receiving Yards
53
Receiving Yards
