Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amari Cooper from EV Insight

Amari CooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 53.5 (-120) after it opened @ 52.5 (-115).

Pros

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projection model to call 66.2 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 66.2 plays per game.
The Chicago Bears defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.
In this game, Amari Cooper is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.2 targets.
After accruing 96.0 air yards per game last season, Amari Cooper has produced significantly more this season, currently pacing 105.0 per game.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Amari Cooper’s 57.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 64.9% figure.
Amari Cooper’s 8.3 adjusted yards per target this year shows a noteable diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 9.6 figure.
This year, the daunting Bears defense has yielded a meager 145.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 10th-best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
53
Receiving Yards