Week 15 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Chuba Hubbard from EV Insight

Chuba HubbardRushing Yards

Right now, Chuba Hubbard’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (+110/-143).

The public has bet the OVER up to 69.5 (+110) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).

Pros

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run on 48.3% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (a monstrous 63.5 per game on average).
Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally mean decreased passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and increased run volume.
The projections expect Chuba Hubbard to accrue 19.6 carries in this game, on balance, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Cons

Chuba Hubbard’s 3.9 adjusted yards per carry this year indicates an impressive decrease in his running talent over last year’s 4.7 rate.
This year, the poor Falcons run defense has surrendered a massive 4.16 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 22nd-worst rate in the league.
The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-best DT corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
86
Rushing Yards