NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Chuba HubbardRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Panthers vs. Falcons
Right now, Chuba Hubbard’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (+110/-143).
The public has bet the OVER up to 69.5 (+110) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).
Pros
- Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run on 48.3% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
- Our trusted projections expect this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (a monstrous 63.5 per game on average).
- Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally mean decreased passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and increased run volume.
- The projections expect Chuba Hubbard to accrue 19.6 carries in this game, on balance, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Cons
- Chuba Hubbard’s 3.9 adjusted yards per carry this year indicates an impressive decrease in his running talent over last year’s 4.7 rate.
- This year, the poor Falcons run defense has surrendered a massive 4.16 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 22nd-worst rate in the league.
- The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-best DT corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
86
Rushing Yards
86
Rushing Yards
