NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Cardinals vs. 49ers
Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 88.5 yards (-145/+106).
The public has bet the OVER up to 88.5 (-145) after it opened @ 87.5 (-119).
Pros
- This game’s spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the 49ers, who are a huge favorite by 11.5 points.
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to run on 45.1% of their downs: the 7th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
- Our trusted projections expect Christian McCaffrey to garner 19.9 rush attempts this week, on balance, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs.
- Christian McCaffrey’s 96.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents an impressive improvement in his running talent over last year’s 68.0 mark.
- The opposing side have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (146 per game) versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.
Cons
- The model projects the 49ers to call the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- The San Francisco 49ers have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 53.0 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Christian McCaffrey’s 83.3% snap rate this year signifies a noteworthy boost in his offensive volume over last year’s 71.5% mark.
Projection
THE BLITZ
97
Rushing Yards
97
Rushing Yards
