Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Josh PalmerReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Raiders vs. Chargers
Right now, Josh Palmer’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (+100/-130).
The public has bet the OVER up to 35.5 (+100) after it opened @ 25.5 (+100).
Pros
- The Chargers may pass less in this week’s contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Easton Stick.
- The Chargers are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
- Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chargers to pass on 61.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
- At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Chargers.
- The Raiders pass defense has conceded the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.7%) versus WRs this year (68.7%).
Cons
- Josh Palmer’s 59.9% Adjusted Catch% this season represents an impressive regression in his receiving proficiency over last season’s 72.2% rate.
Projection
THE BLITZ
47
Receiving Yards
47
Receiving Yards
