Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Cam AkersRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Packers vs. Rams
Right now, Cam Akers’s rushing yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 53.5 (-110) after it opened @ 57.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects Cam Akers to garner 13.4 carries in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among RBs.
- Cam Akers has earned 49.1% of his team’s carries this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
- Opposing squads have rushed for the most yards in the NFL (151 per game) vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year.
- The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the worst collection of LBs in the league this year in regard to run defense.
- The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
Cons
- The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling out backup QB Baker Mayfield in this week’s game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 41.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Cam Akers’s ground efficiency (3.35 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (3rd percentile among RBs).
Projection
THE BLITZ
55
Rushing Yards
55
Rushing Yards
