Week 15 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Breece Hall from EV Insight

Breece HallRushing Yards

Right now, Breece Hall’s rushing yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 42.5 (-120) after it opened @ 43.5 (-115).

Pros

The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to total 12.6 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Breece Hall has garnered 54.6% of his team’s rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Breece Hall ranks as one of the top running backs in the NFL at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a remarkable 3.14 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 88th percentile.

Cons

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Jets being a huge -7-point underdog in this game.
The projections expect the Jets as the 7th-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the projection model to run only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The 7th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the New York Jets this year (only 55.9 per game on average).
This year, the weak Miami Dolphins run defense has conceded a whopping 4.00 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition’s ground game: the 25th-largest rate in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
55
Rushing Yards