Week 15 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Austin Ekeler from EV Insight

Austin EkelerRushing Yards

Right now, Austin Ekeler’s rushing yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-107/-121).

The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-107) after it opened @ 48.5 (-117).

Pros

At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Chargers.
With a remarkable rate of 50.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (78th percentile), Austin Ekeler places as one of the best RBs in the league this year.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (129 per game) vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.

Cons

The Chargers may pass less in this week’s contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Easton Stick.
The Chargers are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to run on 39.0% of their chances: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Our trusted projections expect Austin Ekeler to be much less involved in his offense’s running game in this game (44.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (55.2% in games he has played).

Projection

THE BLITZ
49
Rushing Yards