NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Austin EkelerRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Raiders vs. Chargers
Right now, Austin Ekeler’s rushing yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-107/-121).
The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-107) after it opened @ 48.5 (-117).
Pros
- At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Chargers.
- With a remarkable rate of 50.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (78th percentile), Austin Ekeler places as one of the best RBs in the league this year.
- Opposing offenses have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (129 per game) vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.
Cons
- The Chargers may pass less in this week’s contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Easton Stick.
- The Chargers are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to run on 39.0% of their chances: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Our trusted projections expect Austin Ekeler to be much less involved in his offense’s running game in this game (44.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (55.2% in games he has played).
Projection
THE BLITZ
49
Rushing Yards
49
Rushing Yards
