Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Tyler HigbeeReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Rams vs. Commanders
Right now, Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards prop is set at 26.5 yards (-110/-120).
Pros
- At the present time, the 9th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.
- The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- The predictive model expects Tyler Higbee to earn 4.6 targets in this week’s game, on balance, putting him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
- When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Washington’s LB corps has been atrocious this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.
Cons
- This game’s spread implies a rushing game script for the Rams, who are favored by 6.5 points.
- This year, the tough Commanders defense has conceded a measly 40.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 5th-fewest in the league.
- This year, the stout Washington Commanders pass defense has given up the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a puny 4.0 YAC.
Projection
THE BLITZ
32
Receiving Yards
32
Receiving Yards
