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Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Higbee from EV Insight

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Tyler Higbee

Tyler HigbeeReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 15

Packers vs. Rams

Right now, Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards prop is set at 25.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 25.5 (-110) after it opened @ 32.5 (-114).

Pros

  • The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling out backup QB Baker Mayfield in this week’s game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Higbee to notch 5.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
  • Tyler Higbee has been among the best tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a terrific 36.0 yards per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 58.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have run the least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the league.
  • Tyler Higbee has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (69.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (85.1%).

Projection
THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards

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